Machine-readable Global Macro-Economic Data:
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Comprehensive Coverage for Low Latency Trading
Our real-time access to critical economic data includes:
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- Exclusive Chicago PMI Data delivered three minutes before general media release.
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- Canadian, European, Emerging Market, and APAC Data, including CPI, PPI, GDP, Retail Sales, and Trade Data.
- Instant Interest Rate Updates from the USA, UK, Reserve Bank of Australia, Canada, and more.
All embargoed releases are available instantly after official release times, thanks to our state of the art high-precision GPS timing equipment which ensure complete fairness and parity between clients.
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Ultra Low-Latency Machine Readable Feeds
AlphaFlash consistently offers some of the World’s fastest Machine readable algorithmic data for key Macro Economic events across the Globe. Utilizing our proprietary scraping, real-time API and ultra low-latency infrastructure technology , we are used by FX traders, Energy Traders, Quantitative Traders, Banks, Research & Investment Analysts to obtain the edge with a cost effective solution. Our real-time economic indicators are frequently seconds in front of legacy macro event news providers, and where millisecond and microseconds matter we lead the path.
Week Ahead: RBA Rate Decision, Eurozone Flash Inflation, US PCE Revisions, Tankan, Tokyo CPI, Nonfarm Payrolls and BanRep — 29 September–3 October 2026
High-impact data and central bank decisions land in a tight cluster this week. Watch the RBA cash rate decision, Eurozone September flash HICP, US August PCE (with annual revisions), Japan’s Q3 Tankan, Tokyo September CPI, the US September labour market report, and Colombia’s BanRep decision. These prints will reprice rate-path odds into the October FOMC and ECB meetings.
Developed markets economic calendar
Tuesday: RBA interest rate decision — 25bp hike to 4.60% expected
The Reserve Bank of Australia announces its policy decision on Tuesday 29 September. The base case is a 25 basis point rate hike, taking the cash rate to 4.60%.
Governor Michele Bullock told the House of Representatives Economics Committee this month that inflation risks remain skewed to the upside and “appear to be materialising.” In a subsequent fireside chat she said the September Board would assess whether those upside inflation risks are in fact materialising.
August CPI is released the day after the decision, so the Board will rely on other price data that have already pointed to rising or persistently elevated inflation. Markets will parse the statement and any shift in the Board’s language on second-round effects from energy.
Tuesday–Friday: Eurozone September flash HICP inflation
The Eurozone flash inflation round is staggered:
- Tuesday: Spain
- Wednesday: Germany, France, Italy
- Friday: Eurozone-wide flash HICP
Consensus sees headline inflation rising to 3.7% year-on-year (from 3.2%) on another lift in fuel prices. Core inflation is expected to edge up to 2.5% Y/Y (from 2.4%).
The trade is how higher energy prices feed through food and goods. Food inflation has been flattered by base effects; those fade from here and leave the component more exposed to pipeline pressures.
ECB-dated OIS prices a little under a 50% implied probability of an October rate hike. Officials still signal a patient, roughly quarterly pace to deal with the energy shock. A string of meaningful upside surprises would be needed to make October the base case.
Wednesday: US August PCE inflation and annual revisions
Wednesday’s personal income and outlays report for August will be watched more closely than usual because it includes annual PCE revisions. Those revisions are expected to produce a non-trivial downward revision to core PCE year-on-year.
July core PCE stood at 3.34% Y/Y. A central case is a 0.2pp downward revision; some houses (including Citi) look for 0.3pp.
For August itself, the median unrounded estimate for core PCE is 0.26% month-on-month (range 0.25–0.32%), close to July’s 0.25% M/M.
Consumer spending is expected to rebound strongly: nominal +0.9% M/M after +0.2%, real +0.5% M/M after 0.0%, consistent with the bounce in non-store retail sales after the Amazon Prime Day timing distortion.
Thursday: Japan Q3 Tankan survey
The Q3 Tankan is expected to show resilient-to-firm conditions versus Q2.
Consensus looks for the manufacturing index and outlook to tick higher, with non-manufacturing holding near Q2 levels. Capex intentions are the other focus after recent business spending has underwhelmed. Consensus is 12.2% (from 11.5%).
PMIs remain in expansion on the manufacturing side. Japan continues to see solid export growth, led by tech and a recovery in shipments to the US.
Friday: Tokyo September CPI
Tokyo CPI is expected to print much firmer year-on-year than August.
| Measure | Consensus | Prior |
|---|---|---|
| Headline | 2.5% Y/Y | 1.9% |
| Ex-fresh food | 2.4% Y/Y | 1.8% |
| Ex-fresh food and energy | 2.6% Y/Y | 2.0% |
Friday: US September nonfarm payrolls (NFP)
Friday’s September employment report is the week’s US headline and the last top-tier labour print before the 27–28 October FOMC.
Solid data and higher energy prices have extended the hawkish shift after the September FOMC SEP and Chair Warsh’s press conference. Fed funds futures price a 65–70% probability of a second 25bp hike in October.
Early consensus:
- Nonfarm payrolls: +100k (after +162k in August)
- Private payrolls: +85k (after +127k)
- Unemployment rate: 4.1% for a third month (4.09% in July, 4.14% in August) — still consistent with full employment
The four-week average of initial jobless claims remains extremely low. Warsh: “the labor side of the Fed’s congressional remit is in good shape.”
Emerging markets economic calendar
Wednesday: BanRep Colombia interest rate decision
After BanRep unexpectedly held in July, most analysts expect the Board to leave the policy rate unchanged at 12.00% on Wednesday.
Hawkish comments from some members after firmer-than-expected CPI, plus pressure on the Colombian peso, have raised the risk of another near-term hike — possibly this month. The vote is likely to be split again. The Board remains divided on further tightening after the aggressive hikes earlier this year.
Desk takeaway: Tuesday’s RBA decision and Friday’s US jobs report bookend the week. Midweek PCE revisions and Eurozone flash inflation will set the tone for October pricing at the Fed and ECB. Tokyo CPI and the Tankan keep JPY and BoJ expectations in play. BanRep is the LatAm live event.
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